Monday, 27 April 2009

German banks loaded with 816 billion in toxic paper

On Friday, the German daily Süddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) leaked a bombshell - a confidential report by Bafin, the Federal Financial Supervisory Authority, found that German banks were sitting on over 800 billion euros in toxic assets. Just three months ago, the reports coming out suggested the problem was only half as large, 400 billion euros.

This new account has been all over the news in Germany because Germans are becoming quite frightened about the health of their banking system and are angry because the German economy was largely absent from the bubbles of the past decade. Germans are beginning to ask quite openly why banks like Commerzbank and the state-owned land banks as well as institutions like Hypo Real Estate are being rescued with taxpayer money. This is a debate now ongoing in a number of countries, the U.S., the U.K. and Ireland most prominent among them. In an election year in Germany, this issue is sure to have an impact.

Credit Writedowns


Money for Nothing


On July 15, 2007, The New York Times published an article with the headline “The Richest of the Rich, Proud of a New Gilded Age.” The most prominently featured of the “new titans” was Sanford Weill, the former chairman of Citigroup, who insisted that he and his peers in the financial sector had earned their immense wealth through their contributions to society.

Soon after that article was printed, the financial edifice Mr. Weill took credit for helping to build collapsed, inflicting immense collateral damage in the process. Even if we manage to avoid a repeat of the Great Depression, the world economy will take years to recover from this crisis.

All of which explains why we should be disturbed by an article in Sunday’s Times reporting that pay at investment banks, after dipping last year, is soaring again — right back up to 2007 levels.

Why is this disturbing? Let me count the ways.

First, there’s no longer any reason to believe that the wizards of Wall Street actually contribute anything positive to society, let alone enough to justify those humongous paychecks.

Remember that the gilded Wall Street of 2007 was a fairly new phenomenon. From the 1930s until around 1980 banking was a staid, rather boring business that paid no better, on average, than other industries, yet kept the economy’s wheels turning.

So why did some bankers suddenly begin making vast fortunes? It was, we were told, a reward for their creativity — for financial innovation. At this point, however, it’s hard to think of any major recent financial innovations that actually aided society, as opposed to being new, improved ways to blow bubbles, evade regulations and implement de facto Ponzi schemes.

Consider a recent speech by Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve chairman, in which he tried to defend financial innovation. His examples of “good” financial innovations were (1) credit cards — not exactly a new idea; (2) overdraft protection; and (3) subprime mortgages. (I am not making this up.) These were the things for which bankers got paid the big bucks?

Still, you might argue that we have a free-market economy, and it’s up to the private sector to decide how much its employees are worth. But this brings me to my second point: Wall Street is no longer, in any real sense, part of the private sector. It’s a ward of the state, every bit as dependent on government aid as recipients of Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, a k a “welfare.”

I’m not just talking about the $600 billion or so already committed under the TARP. There are also the huge credit lines extended by the Federal Reserve; large-scale lending by Federal Home Loan Banks; the taxpayer-financed payoffs of A.I.G. contracts; the vast expansion of F.D.I.C. guarantees; and, more broadly, the implicit backing provided to every financial firm considered too big, or too strategic, to fail.

One can argue that it’s necessary to rescue Wall Street to protect the economy as a whole — and in fact I agree. But given all that taxpayer money on the line, financial firms should be acting like public utilities, not returning to the practices and paychecks of 2007.

Furthermore, paying vast sums to wheeler-dealers isn’t just outrageous; it’s dangerous. Why, after all, did bankers take such huge risks? Because success — or even the temporary appearance of success — offered such gigantic rewards: even executives who blew up their companies could and did walk away with hundreds of millions. Now we’re seeing similar rewards offered to people who can play their risky games with federal backing.

So what’s going on here? Why are paychecks heading for the stratosphere again? Claims that firms have to pay these salaries to retain their best people aren’t plausible: with employment in the financial sector plunging, where are those people going to go?

No, the real reason financial firms are paying big again is simply because they can. They’re making money again (although not as much as they claim), and why not? After all, they can borrow cheaply, thanks to all those federal guarantees, and lend at much higher rates. So it’s eat, drink and be merry, for tomorrow you may be regulated.

Or maybe not. There’s a palpable sense in the financial press that the storm has passed: stocks are up, the economy’s nose-dive may be leveling off, and the Obama administration will probably let the bankers off with nothing more than a few stern speeches. Rightly or wrongly, the bankers seem to believe that a return to business as usual is just around the corner.

We can only hope that our leaders prove them wrong, and carry through with real reform. In 2008, overpaid bankers taking big risks with other people’s money brought the world economy to its knees. The last thing we need is to give them a chance to do it all over again.

NYT

Le svalutazioni dei toxic assets: a che punto siamo secondo l'IMF



Fonte: IMF

Friday, 20 March 2009

The Turner Review: a regulatory response to the global banking crisis

Following the banking crisis, the Chancellor of the Exchequer asked Lord Turner, in his capacity as our Chairman, to review and make recommendations for reforming UK and international approaches to the way banks are regulated.

The Turner Review

Tuesday, 24 February 2009

500 miliardi per RBS e Lloyd TBS

Taxpayers may become liable for £500bn of poor loans and investments made by Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds TSB.
Negotiations are at an advanced stage on what the Treasury has called its Asset Protection Scheme, which would involve taxpayers insuring banks against future losses on their less prudent lending and investment.
It is understood that each of Lloyds and Royal Bank hope to insure £250bn of their loans and investments.

They are working towards a deadline of Thursday for Royal Bank and Friday for Lloyds to agree the outline of the deal with the Treasury.

If £500bn of their assets are insured, this would be a bold attempt by the Treasury to achieve two outcomes: first, to strengthen their balance sheets to avoid having to nationalise the banks fully if their losses increase: second, to release resources within the banks to generate perhaps £30bn or £40bn of new lending to companies and homebuyers.
It would also, however, lift the total of British taxpayer support for our banks since the start of the credit crunch - in the form of loans, guarantees, insurance and investment - to a remarkable £1.3 trillion, more-or-less equivalent to the entire annual output of the British economy or GDP.

Sources close to the negotiations said there are still important disagreements between the Treasury and the banks on the terms of the deal.

One contentious area is the size of the loss - known as the first loss - that the banks must incur before taxpayers pick up the tab.

The Treasury wanted the banks' owners, their shareholders, to be liable for the first 10 per cent of the loss.

But on £500bn of assets, that 10 per cent loss would potentially destroy their balance sheets - and thus end up weakening the banks, rather than strengthening them.

Second, is the size of the fee payable by the banks.

This would be in the form of participating preference shares to be issued to the Treasury and would probably be classed under banking regulations as core tier one capital - which means they would reinforce the financial robustness of the banks.

These shares would carry no votes. So the Government's voting control of Royal Bank would remain at 70 per cent and 43 per cent for Lloyds TSB.

But if the fee were set high, the Government's economic interest in these banks - it claims over the banks' assets - could approach 100 per cent.

In the sense of rights over the banks' profits and assets, there would be little or nothing left for Royal Bank's and Lloyds' private sector shareholders. This would represent "economic" nationalisation of the banks, if not formal nationalisation.

The banks and Treasury officials, together with teams of City advisers, are struggling to construct a formula that avoids this economic nationalisation.

Lo Schleswig-Holstein e la città di Amburgo lanciano un salvagente a HSH Nordbank

Two German federal states on Tuesday agreed a €13bn ($16.6bn) bail-out of HSH Nordbank, the shipping financier, whose losses on complex structured financial products have crippled the regional lender and blown a hole in government finances.

Government leaders from Schleswig-Holstein and the city state of Hamburg met in Kiel to thrash out a rescue package which was comprised of a €3bn capital injection and €10bn in guarantees to cover future losses.

The deal was put together after Germany’s financial regulator had threatened to shut the bank down unless it raised capital, but must still be approved by both state parliaments.

Schleswig-Holstein and Hamburg together own around 60 per cent of HSH, while a further 26 per cent is controlled by JC Flowers, the US investor.

HSH said the injection will raise the bank’s Tier 1 capital from around 7 per cent to almost 9 per cent. The bank also said it planned to reduce the size of its balance sheet by half to around €100bn in the coming years.

“This is good news for the region, the bank, our staff and our clients,” said Dirk Jens Nonnenmacher, HSH chief executive of HSH.

Rasmus Vöge, the regional deputy head of chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union party, told a newspaper on Tuesday that Schleswig-Holstein was “quasi-bankrupt” as a result of HSH’s losses.

The sentiment was echoed by Wolfgang Kubicki, state head of the Free Democratic party, who warned that without federal assistance Schleswig-Holstein faced “political bankruptcy like Iceland”.

Mr Kubicki told Reuters that HSH would require around up to €9bn in capital over the next four to five years.

Although it is constitutionally impossible for a federal state to declare bankruptcy, the comments underscore the depth of the financial calamity that has befallen the region.

HSH posted a €2.8bn loss last year and was forced to secure €30bn in lending guarantees from Soffin, the federal government’s stabilisation fund. Soffin declined to provide further assistance until the bank met certain conditions.

Around one-quarter of HSH’s 4,000 employees are set to lose their jobs as a result of a restructuring plan that will see the bank cut non-core operations and focus more on its clients in northern Germany.

Ribassi storici del mercato finanziario

Banche fallite negli USA ad oggi

2008 and 2009 Bank and Thrift Failures ($Mil)


Date
Failed Institution
City
State
Regulator
Total Assets
FDIC Insurance Fund's Estimated Loss
Acquired By
Uninsured Deposits not Acquired
Dividends on Uninsured Deposits
02/13/09

Sherman County Bank

Loup City
Neb.
State
$130
$28
Heritage Bank of Wood River, Neb.
$0.0
N/A
02/13/09

Riverside Bank of the Gulf Coast

Cape Coral
Fla.
State
$539
$201.5
TIB Financial Corp (TIBB) of Naples, Fla.
$0.0
N/A
02/13/09

Corn Belt Bank and Trust

Pittsfield
Ill.
State
$272
$100
Carlinville National Bank, Carlinville, Ill.
$0.0
N/A
02/13/09 Pinnacle Bank
Beaverton
Ore.
State
$73
$12.1
Washington Trust Bank, Spokane, Wash.
$0.0
N/A
02/06/09 County Bank
Merced
Calif.
State
$1,700
$135
Westamerica Bancorporation (WABC)
$0.0
N/A
02/06/09 Alliance Bank
Culver City
Calif.
State
$1,140
$206
California Bank & Trust, held by Zions Bancorporation (ZION).
$0.0
N/A
02/06/09 FirstBank Financial Services
McDonough
Ga.
State
$337
$111
Regions Financial (RF)
$0.0
N/A
01/30/09 Ocala National Bank
Ocala
Fla.
OCC
$224
$100
CenterState Banks of Florida (CSFL)
$0.0
N/A
01/30/09 Suburban FSB
Crofton
Md.
OTS
$360
$126
Bank of Essex, Tappahannock, Va.
$0.0
N/A
01/30/09 Magnet Bank
Salt Lake City
Utah
State
$293
$119
No Acquirer.
$0.0
N/A
01/23/09 1st Centennial Bank
Redlands
Calif.
State
$803
$227
First Califorina Financial Group (FCAL), Camarillo, Calif.
$12.8
0%
01/16/09 Bank of Clark County
Vancouver
Wash.
State
$447
$120 to $145
Umpqua Holdings Corp. (UMPQ), Roseburg, Ore.
$39.3
0%
01/16/09 National Bank of Commerce
Berkely
Ill.
OCC
$431
$97
Republic Bank of Chicago, Oak Brook, Ill.
$0.0
N/A
12/12/08 Sanderson State Bank
Sanderson
Texas
State
$37
$13
The Pecos County State Bank, Fort Stockton, Texas
$0.0
N/A
12/12/08 Haven Trust Bank
Duluth
Ga.
State
$572
$200
BB&T Corp. (BBT)
$0.0
N/A
12/05/08 First Georgia Community Bank
Jackson
Ga.
State
$238
$72
United Bank, Zebulon, Ga.
$0.0
N/A
11/21/08 PFF Bank & Trust
Pomona
Calif.
OTS
$3,700
$700
U.S. Bancorp (USB)
$0.0
N/A
11/21/08 Downey Savings & Loan, FA
Newport Beach
Calif.
OTS
$12,800
$1,400
U.S. Bancorp (USB)
$0.0
N/A
11/21/08 The Community Bank
Loganville
Ga.
State
$681
$200 to $240
Bank of Essex, Tappahannock, Va.
$0.0
N/A
11/07/08 Security Pacific Bank
Los Angeles
Calif.
State
$561
$208
Pacific Western Bank, San Diego, Calif., held by PacWest Bancorp (PACW).
$0.0
N/A
11/07/08 Franklin Bank, SSB
Houston
Texas
State
$5,100
$1,479
Prosperity Bancshares (PRSP), Houston, Texas
$0.0
N/A
10/31/08 Freedom Bank
Bradenton
Fla.
State
$287
$92
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)
$0.0
N/A
10/24/08 Alpha B&T
Alpharetta
Ga.
State
$354
$158
Stearns Bank, NA, St. Cloud, Minn.
$0.4
0%
10/10/08 Meridian Bank
Eldred
Ill.
State
$39
$9
National Bank, Hillsboro, Ill.
$0.0
N/A
10/10/08 Main Street Bank
Northville
Mich.
State
$98
$36
Monroe Bank & Trust, Monroe, Mich.
$0.0
N/A
09/25/08 Washington Mutual Bank
Seattle
Wash.
OTS
$307,000
$0
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
$0.0
N/A
09/19/08 Ameribank, Inc.
Northfork
W.Va.
OTS
$115
$42
Pioneer Community Bank, Iaeger, W. Va., and The Citizens SB, Martins Ferry, Ohio.
$0.0
N/A
09/05/08 Silver State Bank
Henderson
Nev.
State
$1,957
$505
Nevada State Bank, Las Vegas, held by Zions Bancorporation (ZION).
$26.1
0%
08/29/08 Integrity Bank
Alpharetta
Ga.
State
$1,107
$295
Regions Financial (RF)
$0.0
N/A
08/22/08 The Columbian B&TC
Topeka
Kan.
State
$752
$62
Citizens B&T, Chillicothe, Mo,
$28.2
0%
08/01/08 First Priority Bank
Bradenton
Fla.
State
$259
$72
SunTrust Banks, Inc. (STI)
$2.1
50%
07/25/08 First Heritgage Bank, NA
Newport Beach
Calif.
OCC
$254
$42
Mutual of Omaha Bank, Omaha, Neb.
$0.0
N/A
07/25/08 First NB of Nevada
Reno
Nev.
OCC
$3,411
$820
Mutual of Omaha Bank, Omaha, Neb.
$0.0
N/A
07/11/08 IndyMac Bank, FSB
Pasadena
Calif.
OTS
$30,699
$8,900
FDIC conservatorship, since sold to consortium led by J.C. Flowers & Co.
$539.6
50%
05/30/08 First Integrity Bank, NA
Staples
Minn.
OCC
$55
$2
First International B&T, Watford City, N.D.
$0.0
N/A
05/09/08 ANB Financial, NA
Bentonville
Ark.
OCC
$2,100
$214
Pulaski B&TC, Little Rock, Ark., held by IberiaBank Corp. (IBKC).
$10.4
12%
03/07/08 Hume Bank
Hume
Mo.
State
$19
$3
Security Bank, Rich Hill, Mo.
$0.4
63%
01/25/08 Douglass National Bank
Kansas City
Mo.
OCC
$59
$6
Liberty B&TC, New Orleans, La.
$0.0
N/A